Search results for " credit risk"
showing 10 items of 14 documents
Financial contagion through space-time point processes
2020
AbstractWe propose to study the dynamics of financial contagion by means of a class of point process models employed in the modeling of seismic contagion. The proposal extends network models, recently introduced to model financial contagion, in a space-time point process perspective. The extension helps to improve the assessment of credit risk of an institution, taking into account contagion spillover effects.
How credit ratings affect sovereign credit risk: cross-border evidence in Latin American emerging markets
2017
This article builds upon previous literature by providing a better understanding of how contagion changes in bordering sovereign CDS emerging markets resulting from credit rating events. To that end, we follow the novel GVAR methodology using data from six Latin American emerging countries during an extensive sample period from 2004 to 2014. Our findings show evidence for the existence of significant and asymmetric cross-border effects. In particular, a competition effect is observed before the event occurs, indicating that non-event countries suffer (benefit) from upgrades (downgrades) in Brazil, Mexico and Chile (in Argentina and Brazil). In contrast, an imitation effect is observed after…
Do sovereign ratings cause instability in cross-border emerging CDS markets?
2020
We analyse the cross-border transmission effect of credit ratings on sovereign CDSs covering a broad sample of emerging countries during the period 2004 to 2015. This study differentiates between the spillover and competition effects between and within geographical areas of emerging countries. We find substantial evidence of cross-border effects with asymmetric responses to upgrades and downgrades. The market reaction differs across regions, reflecting how the international and local impact of rating events are due to different types of effects. At the international portfolio level, the competitive effect is dominant over the spillover effect. Negative events in Asia benefit Africa (which i…
The Effect of Credit Rating Events on the Emerging CDS Market
2017
We document the cross-border spillover impact of S&P sovereign credit rating events on sovereign CDS using an extensive sample of emerging economies. First, we find on average a competition (imitation) effect of downgrades (upgrades) among emerging portfolios. Results confirms that non-event portfolios responds positively to credit deteriorations in terms of an improvement in sovereign credit risk. Second, the sovereign credit risk of non-event countries within the same portfolio benefit (suffer) from downgrades (upgrades). As expected, this implies a competition effect in terms of sovereign credit risk. Moreover, we find that downgrades are more likely to spill over into other emerging mar…
- CREDIT RISK AND EFFICIENCY IN THE EUROPEAN BANKING SYSTEMS: A THREE-STAGE ANALYSIS
1999
Increased competition and the attempts of European banks to increase their presence in other markets may have affected the efficiency and credit risk. The first of this aspects is based on the incentive to the banks to reduce cost in order to gain in competitiveness. The second is associated to their lack of knowledge of such markets and/or acceptance of a higher risk in order to increase their market share. Despite the importance of these aspects, banking literature has usually analyzed the effects of competition on the efficiency of banking systems without considering these aspects. The few studies that attempt to obtainrisk adjusted efficiency measures do not consider that part of the ri…
Centralised or decentralised banking supervision? Evidence from European banks
2021
Abstract This paper analyses the impact of the Banking Union on European bank credit risk. Specifically, we investigate the effect that the establishment of the Single Supervisory Mechanism has had on the credit risk of the banks it supervises in comparison to financial institutions that are still supervised by National Supervisory Authorities. We analyse a sample of 746 European banks over the period 2011–2018, by means of a difference-in-differences methodology. We provide empirical evidence that Single Supervisory Mechanism supervised banks reduced credit risk exposure compared to banks supervised by National Supervisory Authorities, suggesting that the Banking Union has successfully red…
Latvijas komercbanku kredītu analīze
2016
Bakalaura darbs “Latvijas komercbanku kredītu analīze” ir veltīts komercbanku izsniegto kredītu analīzei un izpētei, kā arī izpratnei par kredītrisku un to pārvaldīšanu. Darba mērķis ir izanalizēt Latvijas komercbanku izsniegtos kredītus, izdarīt secinājumus un sniegt priekšlikumus. Bakalaura darba uzdevumi: •izzināt kredītportfeļa būtību un nepieciešamās kredītpolitikas pamatprincipus; •izpētīt kredīta funkcijas un kredīta klasifikāciju; •raksturot kredītu veidus; •izpētīt kredītrisku, to ietekmējošos faktorus un pārvaldīšanu; •izanalizēt izsniegto kredītu struktūru Latvijā: to apjomu, struktūru pēc aizņēmēja veida, pēc termiņa, pēc valūtu un pēc nozaru griezuma, pēc nodrošinājuma un kvali…
Bank Lending in Project Finance: The New Regulatory Capital Framework
2012
The paper aims to examine the new regulatory framework of project finance in the economics of banking firms. In particular, the paper investigates the uniqueness of the project finance, the significant importance of the project finance in bank activity, and the role of the new bank capital requirements to promote the innovative financial scheme. In the project finance business loans terms and characteristics are primarily based on the assets and quality of the project to be financed. It means that the usual bank rating models for lending business might not been implemented in the project finance lending. Quantitative estimates of credit risk could not be always possible in project finance l…
Credit Risk and Simulated Spreads Risk Adjusted for Italian Regions.
2009
We analyse the idiosyncratic and systematic elements influencing Italian firms’ probability of default (PD) and examine the relationship between credit risk and borrowing conditions at a regional level. This paper, using regression analysis, examines the causal relationship between PD of a representative sample of Italian firms, together with accounting variables at firm level and macroeconomic data. The underlying hypothesis examines if the riskiness of Italian firms is influenced exclusively by their specific characteristics or, more generally, depends also on the spatial environment where they operate. According to the literature, the interregional differentials in the cost of money depe…
A qualitative analysis of bank credit risk disclosure: Evidence from the Canadian and Italian banking sectors
2022
This paper aims to analyze bank credit risk disclosure practices in two different geographical contexts characterized by a homogeneous regulatory framework (Canada and Italy), by means of a qualitative content analysis methodology. We employ an innovative approach, which allows us to investigate both the qualitative and quantitative profiles of disclosures. Unlike an entirely quantitative approach, this comprehensive methodology allows us to analyze in depth the disclosure practices of Canadian and Italian banks and detect their commonalities, differences, points of strength, and weaknesses. Our results show that although there are some variations in the disclosure practices of Canadian and…